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Retirement Planning When Interest Rates Are Falling
Retirement planning is challenging under the best circumstances, but it’s even more complicated when interest rates decline.
The Federal Reserve Board slashed the the federal funds rate by 0.5% at its September 2024 meeting,1 and cut rates by an additional 0.25% at its November 2024 meeting in response to slower inflation.2
While lower interest rates are great for borrowers, many retirees and those approaching retirement are rightfully concerned about how these changes will affect their savings.
Here's how declining interest rates impact your investment strategies — and explore options for maintaining a balanced, diversified portfolio.
The Impact of Declining Interest Rates
Lower interest rates typically encourage borrowing and spending, spurring economic activity.3 That can be good news for home buyers and businesses that rely on debt, but it’s tough on retirees (and those nearing retirement) who shift their portfolios toward more conservative, income-generating assets like cash and bonds.
They may rely heavily on the interest from savings and fixed-income investments, so rate cuts can reduce the income they earn from these sources.
Diversification as a Strategy
It’s wise to weigh the volatility of stocks as you near retirement, but an overly conservative portfolio exposes retirees to interest rate risk.4 This is where the income from fixed-income assets diminishes as rates fall. Given this environment, consider how different asset classes may perform and what adjustments — if any — you should consider in your portfolio.
Diversification helps manage investment risks in any economic climate. A diversified portfolio balances assets across different categories, reducing the overall impact if one area underperforms.
One approach is the 1/3, 1/3, 1/3 strategy, which involves allocating:
- One-third in cash and cash equivalents such as certificates of deposit (CDs) and treasuries
- One-third in marketable securities like stocks, bonds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs)
- One-third in non-traditional assets such as real estate, commodities, precious metals and business interests
This approach balances security, growth and income, though it’s essential to understand how each segment responds to economic changes. Keep in mind that diversification does not guarantee against loss. How much you need to diversify depends on your specific goals and risk tolerance. There is no one answer to what "correct" diversification looks like.
Cash and Cash Equivalents
Cash and cash equivalents, like CDs and money market funds, offer lower returns when interest rates drop. While these assets are stable and provide liquidity, they might not generate enough income to keep up with inflation, reducing purchasing power over time.
An overly conservative portfolio exposes retirees to interest rate risk, where the income from fixed-income assets diminishes as rates fall.
You may feel tempted to reallocate funds away from cash equivalents to seek higher returns in retirement, but this shift means taking on more risk. Rather than making abrupt changes, talk to a financial advisor who can discuss whether you might benefit from small adjustments without increasing overall risk.
Stocks, Bonds and ETFs
Bonds are typically a go-to for investors nearing or in retirement because they provide steady income. However, when interest rates fall, bond yields also decrease, impacting the income investors can earn.
Long-term bonds may experience price appreciation as rates drop. This appreciation offers benefits if you hold bonds for capital gains rather than income. However, bonds with shorter durations may not benefit much from price gains.
If you rely on bonds as a primary source of retirement income, consider the types of bonds you hold. Diversifying with a mix of short- and long-term bonds or government-backed and corporate bonds can provide a buffer against income decline.
Stocks are inherently more volatile than bonds or cash but can offer growth potential even in a low-interest-rate environment. When interest rates fall, companies can often borrow at lower costs, which may lead to higher profitability, benefiting stock prices.5
Another investment option in a low-interest rate environment is dividend-paying stocks. Investing in companies that pay regular dividends in sectors like consumer staples and utilities can help offset the loss of income from bonds and interest-bearing accounts.6 (One caveat, though: If you are retired or close to retirement, holding a large portion of your assets in stocks is risky. Work with a trusted financial advisor to make sure you're not over-exposed to stock market risk for your age, retirement goals and financial situation.)
Non-Traditional Assets
Real estate, commodities and precious metals can be beneficial in a low-rate environment. Real estate, for example, tends to perform well with lower borrowing costs, potentially increasing property values. Commodities like gold may also appreciate as investors seek alternatives to bonds.
Annuities are another option, as they can provide guaranteed income in retirement. However, in a declining interest rate environment, but annuity payments tend to edge down when the Fed starts cutting interest rates.
If you buy a fixed annuity when interest rates are low, you lock in lower payouts for life.7 There are alternatives, such as variable annuities with a guaranteed minimum withdrawal benefit or indexed annuities.
All of these alternatives are complex and sometimes illiquid. It’s a good idea to discuss them with a financial advisor who understands the asset types and your specific needs.
Stay Diversified and Focus on Long-Term Goals
With declining rates, you might be tempted to shift your portfolio to riskier assets to chase returns. However, increasing exposure to high-risk investments close to or during retirement can jeopardize financial security if the market declines. While adding a small allocation to growth assets like stocks can make sense, it’s essential to weigh the risks carefully.
Diversification remains a key strategy in managing investment risks, even in a low-interest rate environment. While certain assets may not perform as well when rates go down, a diverse portfolio protects against market fluctuations and preserves income stability.
Consult a trusted financial advisor to evaluate your current asset allocation and consider whether you need adjustments to weather the return to a low-interest-rate environment. With thoughtful planning and professional guidance, you can continue to build a stable, sustainable financial future in any economic climate.
Important disclosure information
Asset allocation and diversifications do not ensure against loss. This content is general in nature and does not constitute legal, tax, accounting, financial or investment advice. You are encouraged to consult with competent legal, tax, accounting, financial or investment professionals based on your specific circumstances. We do not make any warranties as to accuracy or completeness of this information, do not endorse any third-party companies, products, or services described here, and take no liability for your use of this information.
- Ivana Pino, “A look at the federal funds rate over the past 50 years: How has it changed?” Yahoo! Finance, updated September 18, 2024. Accessed January 20, 2025. Back
- Megan Leonhardt, “The Fed Cuts Rates by a Quarter-Point. Powell Stays the Course,” Barron’s, updated November 7, 2024. Accessed November 17, 2024. Back
- Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, “Why do interest rates matter?” updated July 19, 2024. Accessed November 17, 2024. Back
- Securities and Exchange Commission, “Interest Rate Risk — When Interest Rates Go Up, Prices of Fixed-Rate Bonds Fall,” accessed January 16, 2025. Back
- Catherine Brock, “When the Fed lowers rates, how does it impact stocks?” updated November 7, 2024, accessed November 7, 2024. Back
- Kate Stalter, "What Do Lower Interest Rates Mean for Retirees?" published September 18, 2024. Accessed November 17, 2024. Back
- Kimberly Lankford, "5 Things You Should Know About Annuities," AARP, updated March 6, 2024. Accessed November 17, 2024. Back
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